Dim Outlook for Holiday Gift Cards Sales

Posted on by Chief Marketer Staff

The outlook for spending on gift cards is going the way of forecasts for the upcoming holiday season: not great.

Despite word that gift card sales had increased in the six months leading up to April, sales are projected to stay flat at $24.9 billion and decrease by 5%, according to Archstone Consulting’s 2009 Gift Card Trend Report.

The average value of cards is down by $6, or 11.5% to $46 and people are buying cards that can be used for necessities, such as big-box retailers, restaurants and department stores, reflecting the ongoing economic worries many consumers are experiencing.

Archstone recently forecasted that this year’s holiday retail sales will decline by 1.0% compared with the 2008 holiday season, representing the first back to back decline in holiday retail sales in the last four decades, a somber reflection of continued challenging economic times, Archstone said.

“Gift cards are still the gift of choice among consumers, but gift card purchases reflect the challenging economic times; values per card are down, and the focus (similar to last year) is on the pragmatic not frivolous,” Dave Sievers, a principal at Archstone Consulting, said in a release.

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